9 Nov · 17:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1556
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ruzicka
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1577
FormWLLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.