9 Nov · 17:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Matej Srubar
ELO 1545
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Srubar
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1498
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
🌟Srubar covers set handicap as favourite 79% (14)
Fair odds · Srubar
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.77· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.