9 Nov · 11:00 MEZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1531
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Stapor
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1596
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H55-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (55-31)