9 Nov · 15:40 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1450
FormWLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Srubar
MS
🇨🇿Matej Srubar
ELO 1545
FormWWWWW
42%
58%
🌟Srubar covers set handicap as favourite 79% (14)
Fair odds · Srubar
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+95
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)