9 Nov · 21:05 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jirasek Martin
ELO 1572
FormLWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Martin
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1463
FormLWWWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Martin
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)