9 Nov · 20:55 MEZLow · Coin Flip
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krejci
ELO 1381
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Dlask
MD
🇨🇿Marek Dlask
ELO 1385
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
🌟Dlask rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (59)
Fair odds · Dlask
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.