9 Nov · 21:20 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1432
FormWWLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Dohnal
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1574
FormWLLWW
39%
61%
🌟Dohnal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (213)
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+142
H2H40-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-16)