9 Nov · 18:20 MEZLow · Coin Flip
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1451
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Zahradka
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1451
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hendrych🌟Hendrych covers set handicap as underdog 65% (127)
Fair odds · Zahradka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+0
H2H54-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.