9 Nov · 17:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1522
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Dvorak
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1451
FormLWWWL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hendrych🌟Dvorak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (90)
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H40-45
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)