9 Nov · 18:55 MEZLow · Coin Flip
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1644
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stusek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1657
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strejc🌟Strejc covers set handicap as underdog 64% (143)
Fair odds · Stusek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H89-79
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.