9 Nov · 17:55 MEZLow · Slight Edge
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1644
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jicha
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1682
FormLWLLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strejc🌟Strejc covers set handicap as underdog 64% (143)
Fair odds · Jicha
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H96-72
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.