9 Nov · 16:50 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1451
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Balcar
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Balcar
ELO 1492
FormLLLLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hendrych🌟Balcar rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (52)
Fair odds · Balcar
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H5-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.