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09 Nov · 15:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MOMaksim Ovcharenko
🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko
ELO 1744
3-2Final setsOvcharenko won
DBDavid Bochnak
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1791
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Bochnak at 55%. The actual result was Maksim Ovcharenko 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
David Bochnak favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 74.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
David Bochnak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
David Bochnak −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maksim Ovcharenko is favoured to win, below means David Bochnak.

▲ Maksim Ovcharenkopre 48% → final 89%
David Bochnak ▼
Biggest swing 52 pts72 points · 5 games