9 Nov · 17:00 MEZLow · Slight Edge
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1524
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kos
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1549
FormWWWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kos
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.87· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H19-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.