9 Nov · 17:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Jakub Caban
ELO 1551
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Caban
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1509
FormLWLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Caban
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H38-48
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.