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09 Nov · 18:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TTTomas Trnka
🇨🇿Tomas Trnka
ELO 1613
3-0Final setsTrnka won
DHDavid Hons
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1505
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Trnka at 58%. The actual result was Tomas Trnka 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tomas Trnka favoured — closing 1.41
Favourite won
Total 74.5
67 points played
Under
Set handicap
Tomas Trnka −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Tomas Trnka −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 2.75
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
8.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tomas Trnka is favoured to win, below means David Hons.

▲ Tomas Trnkapre 55% → final 91%
David Hons ▼
Biggest swing 43 pts72 points · 4 games