10 Nov · 09:40 MEZLow · Coin Flip
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1480
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1496
FormWWLWW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jokiel🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (193)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H7-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.