10 Nov · 14:15 MEZLow · Coin Flip
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1484
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Raska
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1491
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
🌟Raska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (43)
Fair odds · Raska
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H5-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.