10 Nov · 13:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Chvatal
ELO 1551
FormLWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lovl
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1619
FormWLLWW
44%
56%
🌟Chvatal covers set handicap as underdog 63% (38)
Fair odds · Lovl
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H12-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)