10 Nov · 13:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
LM
🇨🇿Ladislav Moravec
ELO 1389
FormLLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Balcar
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Balcar
ELO 1489
FormWLLWL
42%
58%
🌟Balcar rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (52)
Fair odds · Balcar
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)