10 Nov · 12:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1619
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lovl
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1535
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Neterda covers set handicap as underdog 72% (69)
Fair odds · Lovl
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H25-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-11)