10 Nov · 12:50 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JB
🇨🇿Jaroslav Brynych
ELO 1330
FormWLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sebek
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Sebek
ELO 1366
FormLLWLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Sebek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.