10 Nov · 13:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1669
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Krenek
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1644
FormLWWLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Skvrna🌟Skvrna covers set handicap as underdog 67% (52)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H47-52
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.