10 Nov · 14:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1576
FormLWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Lovl
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1619
FormWLLWW
46%
54%
🌟Ruzicka covers set handicap as underdog 65% (54)
Fair odds · Lovl
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H20-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.