10 Nov · 14:20 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1230
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Brynych
JB
🇨🇿Jaroslav Brynych
ELO 1330
FormWLWLL
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kolbusovsky
Fair odds · Brynych
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)