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09 Nov · 22:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MCMartin Chmelicek
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1461
2-3Final setsMezlik won
SMSimon Mezlik
🇨🇿Simon Mezlik
ELO 1445
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Chmelicek at 53%. The actual result was Simon Mezlik 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Martin Chmelicek favoured — closing 1.73
Upset
Total 75.5
84 points played
Over
Set handicap
Martin Chmelicek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Martin Chmelicek −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.32
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Martin Chmelicek is favoured to win, below means Simon Mezlik.

▲ Martin Chmelicekpre 57% → final 90%
Simon Mezlik ▼
Biggest swing 63 ptsChmelicek recovered from 32%72 points · 5 games