10 Nov · 13:20 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1230
FormLLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Sebek
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Sebek
ELO 1366
FormLLWLL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Sebek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+136
H2H50-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+136)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (50-25)