10 Nov · 09:10 MEZLow · Coin Flip
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1501
FormWWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Matus
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1496
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sindler🌟Sindler covers set handicap as underdog 70% (141)
Fair odds · Matus
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H32-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.