10 Nov · 08:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1480
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jokiel
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1451
FormLWWLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 64% (159)
Fair odds · Jokiel
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.