10 Nov · 12:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1576
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ruzicka
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Chvatal
ELO 1551
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
🌟Chvatal covers set handicap as underdog 63% (38)
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H16-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.