10 Nov · 14:35 MEZLow · Coin Flip
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1535
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chvatal
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Chvatal
ELO 1551
FormLWLLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Neterda🌟Chvatal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (61)
Fair odds · Chvatal
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H22-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.