10 Nov · 14:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Sebek
ELO 1366
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vintr
JV
🇨🇿Josef Vintr
ELO 1447
FormLLLLL
43%
57%
🌟Vintr goes over total as favourite 66% (35)
Fair odds · Vintr
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H6-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-0)