10 Nov · 10:25 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1543
FormLWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sochor
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1484
FormWLLWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 71% (208)
Fair odds · Sochor
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 57% · 1.74· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H13-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-9)