10 Nov · 20:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1525
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Cizek
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1612
FormWLWWW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vitasek🌟Cizek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (100)
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H14-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)