10 Nov · 19:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1565
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Travnicek
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Fojtik
ELO 1501
FormLLWWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fojtik🌟Fojtik covers set handicap as underdog 69% (74)
Fair odds · Travnicek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H5-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)