10 Nov · 20:35 MEZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kabelka
ELO 1463
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vidourek
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1465
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vidourek🌟Vidourek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (29)
Fair odds · Vidourek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H20-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.