10 Nov · 17:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
OC
🇨🇿Ondrej Coufal
ELO 1511
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Srubar
MS
🇨🇿Matej Srubar
ELO 1550
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
🌟Srubar covers set handicap as favourite 79% (14)
Fair odds · Srubar
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.