10 Nov · 17:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1589
FormLLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sarganek
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1674
FormWWWLW
43%
57%
🌟Sarganek stays under total as favourite 68% (149)
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H45-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-30)