10 Nov · 18:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1649
FormWWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sikora
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1552
FormWLLWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+97
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)