10 Nov · 18:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1489
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Coufal
OC
🇨🇿Ondrej Coufal
ELO 1511
FormLLLWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lasota🌟Coufal stays under total as favourite 71% (21)
Fair odds · Coufal
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.