10 Nov · 16:10 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Matej Srubar
ELO 1550
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Srubar
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1489
FormWLWLW
55%
45%
🌟Srubar covers set handicap as favourite 79% (14)
Fair odds · Srubar
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)