10 Nov · 12:35 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1618
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rek
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1565
FormWLWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H46-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.