10 Nov · 17:25 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1419
FormLWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Moravec
PM
🇨🇿Petr Moravec
ELO 1539
FormLWWLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+120
H2H22-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-10)