10 Nov · 19:25 MEZLow · Slight Edge
PM
🇨🇿Petr Moravec
ELO 1539
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Volek
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Volek
ELO 1563
FormWLLWW
48%
52%
🌟Volek stays under total as favourite 65% (23)
Fair odds · Volek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~70 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.