10 Nov · 16:55 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JC
🇨🇿Jiri Cerny
ELO 1464
FormLWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Volek
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Volek
ELO 1563
FormWLLWW
42%
58%
🌟Volek stays under total as favourite 65% (23)
Fair odds · Volek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~69 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H8-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-6)