10 Nov · 18:55 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Jiri Cerny
ELO 1464
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Cerny
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1419
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Cerny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (49)
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H30-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.