10 Nov · 16:50 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MD
🇨🇿Martin Dvorak
ELO 1493
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Cesak
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cesak
ELO 1533
FormLWLWL
47%
53%
🌟Cesak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (75)
Fair odds · Cesak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.