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10 Nov · 14:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MKMichal Kolbusovsky
🇨🇿Michal Kolbusovsky
ELO 1227
2-3Final setsSebek won
OSOndrej Sebek
🇨🇿Ondrej Sebek
ELO 1345
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sebek at 59%. The actual result was Ondrej Sebek 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Ondrej Sebek favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Total 76.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Ondrej Sebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Ondrej Sebek −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
6.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Kolbusovsky is favoured to win, below means Ondrej Sebek.

▲ Michal Kolbusovskypre 44% → final 97%
Ondrej Sebek ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsKolbusovsky recovered from 35%72 points · 5 games