11 Nov · 10:15 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1501
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Matus
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zajac
ELO 1426
FormLLLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Matus
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)