11 Nov · 13:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1512
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sindler
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1492
FormWWWLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jokiel🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (195)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H7-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.